IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.3	#222
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	60.3	#345
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.8	#284

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.5	#145

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.0%	3.5%	1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.3%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.5	13.2	13.8

.500 or above	22.2%	40.4%	15.6%
.500 or above in Conference	27.6%	41.1%	22.8%
Conference Champion	2.1%	4.0%	1.4%
Last Place in Conference	24.2%	14.7%	27.6%

First Four	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
First Round	1.9%	3.4%	1.4%
Second Round	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: North Texas (Away) - 26.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 6
Quad 3	4 - 8	5 - 15
Quad 4	6 - 3	11 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 16, 2019	152	@ North Texas	L	57-64	26%
Nov 22, 2019	206	Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	60-61	49%
Nov 24, 2019	325	N.C. A&T	W	66-59	73%
Nov 30, 2019	106	@ UC Irvine	L	57-67	18%
Dec 03, 2019	199	Valparaiso	W	62-60	57%
Dec 07, 2019	219	@ Detroit Mercy	L	68-71	39%
Dec 17, 2019	130	Northeastern	L	63-65	42%
Dec 21, 2019	1	@ Michigan St.	L	52-80	1%
Dec 28, 2019	146	@ UNLV	L	62-69	26%
Jan 04, 2020	132	Akron	L	60-62	43%
Jan 07, 2020	217	@ Ohio	L	64-67	39%
Jan 11, 2020	147	@ Northern Illinois	L	60-67	27%
Jan 14, 2020	120	Ball St.	L	64-68	38%
Jan 18, 2020	217	Ohio	W	67-64	59%
Jan 21, 2020	108	@ Bowling Green	L	63-73	20%
Jan 25, 2020	150	@ Miami (OH)	L	60-67	28%
Feb 01, 2020	112	Toledo	L	62-66	38%
Feb 04, 2020	104	Buffalo	L	69-73	36%
Feb 08, 2020	132	@ Akron	L	57-65	25%
Feb 11, 2020	154	@ Central Michigan	L	67-74	29%
Feb 15, 2020	231	Western Michigan	W	68-64	62%
Feb 18, 2020	129	Kent St.	L	65-67	43%
Feb 22, 2020	120	@ Ball St.	L	61-71	22%
Feb 25, 2020	147	Northern Illinois	L	63-64	46%
Feb 29, 2020	154	Central Michigan	L	70-71	47%
Mar 03, 2020	231	@ Western Michigan	L	65-67	42%
Mar 06, 2020	112	@ Toledo	L	59-69	21%
Projected Record						10 - 17	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.5	0.3	0.0	0.0		2.1	1st
2nd											0.0	0.5	1.2	1.2	0.5	0.1	0.0				3.5	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.5	1.6	1.5	0.5	0.1	0.0					4.1	3rd
4th									0.0	0.4	1.8	2.1	0.7	0.1							5.0	4th
5th								0.0	0.3	2.2	2.7	0.8	0.1	0.0							6.0	5th
6th								0.2	2.1	3.2	1.3	0.1									7.0	6th
7th							0.1	1.9	4.1	1.9	0.1	0.0									8.2	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	1.6	4.4	3.0	0.3	0.0										9.4	8th
9th				0.0	0.2	1.7	4.8	3.9	0.6	0.0											11.1	9th
10th			0.0	0.4	2.3	4.6	4.3	1.0	0.0												12.6	10th
11th		0.1	0.9	2.9	5.1	3.9	1.1	0.1													14.2	11th
12th	0.9	2.9	4.7	4.6	2.6	0.8	0.1														16.7	12th

Total	0.9	3.0	5.7	7.9	10.2	11.1	12.1	11.4	10.2	8.0	6.6	5.0	3.5	2.2	1.3	0.6	0.3	0.0	0.0			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	85.2%	0.3		0.2	0.0
15-3	76.1%	0.5		0.3	0.1	0.0
14-4	56.6%	0.8		0.4	0.3	0.0	0.0
13-5	19.8%	0.4		0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	3.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.1%	2.1		1.2	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		66.7%		66.7%	10.0										0.0		0.0						0.0		66.7%
17-1	0.0%		44.4%	24.4%	20.0%	10.7								0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0		26.5%
16-2	0.3%		33.6%	23.1%	10.5%	11.4							0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.2		13.6%
15-3	0.6%		19.5%	19.2%	0.3%	12.5										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.5		0.4%
14-4	1.3%		17.6%	15.9%	1.7%	12.6											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		1.1		2.0%
13-5	2.2%		12.1%	11.5%	0.6%	12.8											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		1.9		0.7%
12-6	3.5%		8.4%	8.4%	0.0%	13.8												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	3.2		0.0%
11-7	5.0%		6.7%	6.7%		13.7													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	4.7
10-8	6.6%		3.7%	3.7%		14.1													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	6.3
9-9	8.0%		1.5%	1.5%		14.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	7.9
8-10	10.2%		1.4%	1.4%		14.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	10.0
7-11	11.4%		0.4%	0.4%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	11.3
6-12	12.1%		0.4%	0.4%		15.4															0.0	0.0	0.0	12.0
5-13	11.1%		0.2%	0.2%		15.5																0.0	0.0	11.0
4-14	10.2%		0.0%	0.0%		15.8																0.0	0.0	10.2
3-15	7.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.9
2-16	5.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	5.7
1-17	3.0%																							3.0
0-18	0.9%																							0.9

Total	100%		2.0%	1.9%	0.1%	13.5							0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.5	0.4	0.1	98.0		0.1%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%